Local open-weight AI on a laptop has been improving more than twice as fast as Moore's Law!
TL;DR · AI Summary
Between May 2024 and May 2026, the performance of local open-weight AI models on laptops has improved more than twice as fast as Moore's Law.
Key Takeaways
- Llama 3 70B to DeepSeek V4 Flash improved by 4.7x
- Model performance doubles every 10.7 months, far exceeding Moore's Law's 24-mont
- Hardware configuration unchanged, but model efficiency significantly improved
Outline
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Introduces the performance improvement speed of local open-weight AI models on laptops.
The memory of MacBook Pro remained largely unchanged between May 2024 and May 2026.
Open-source model performance increased from 10 to 47, a 4.7x improvement.
Model performance improvement is more than twice as fast as Moore's Law.
Mindmap
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- 本地开源AI模型性能提升
- 硬件限制
- MacBook Pro内存未变
- 模型进步
- 性能提升4.7倍
- 对比分析
- 超越摩尔定律两倍
Highlights
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Performance of Llama 3 70B to DeepSeek V4 Flash improved by 4.7x, while hardware configuration remained unchanged.
Model performance doubles every 10.7 months, far exceeding Moore's Law's 24-month cycle.
Local open-weight AI models on laptops have seen performance improvements more than twice as fast as Moore's Law.
clem 🤗 on X: "Local open-weight AI on a laptop has been improving more than twice as fast as Moore's Law! Between May 2024 and May 2026, the most expensive MacBook Pro you could buy stayed at 128 GB of unified memory. The hardware ceiling barely moved. But the smartest open-weight model https://t.co/zr5JFxMdjN" / X
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clem 
Local open-weight AI on a laptop has been improving more than twice as fast as Moore's Law! Between May 2024 and May 2026, the most expensive MacBook Pro you could buy stayed at 128 GB of unified memory. The hardware ceiling barely moved. But the smartest open-weight model from
you could actually run on it went from a score of 10 (Llama 3 70B) to 47 (DeepSeek V4 Flash on
's mixed-Q2 GGUF) on the
Intelligence Index. That is 4.7× in 24 months, or a doubling of intelligence every 10.7 months. Moore's Law (transistor count) doubles every 24 months. Local open-weight AI on a laptop has been improving more than twice as fast as Moore's Law, on completely unchanged hardware.
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