Anthropic 长期盈利的可能性高于 OpenAI，但仍不大
TL;DR · AI 摘要
Gary Marcus认为Anthropic长期盈利概率高于OpenAI，但仍整体偏低；评论者补充称其仅靠Claude、Cowork与企业软件布局机会极微薄。
核心要点
- Gary Marcus判断Anthropic长期盈利可能性大于OpenAI，但两者均不乐观
- 用户@tmaiaroto指出Anthropic仅靠Claude、Cowork和企业软件三路径，机会‘razor thin’（极微薄）
- 该观点出自2026年5月30日X平台推文，属个人评论而非实证分析
结构提纲
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Gary Marcus声称Anthropic的长期盈利能力预期高于OpenAI，但整体概率仍不高。
该判断发布于2026年5月30日X平台推文，属于专家个人观点，无数据支撑或方法论说明。
思维导图
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- Anthropic vs OpenAI 盈利前景评论
- Gary Marcus观点
- Anthropic > OpenAI 盈利概率
- 但整体仍不乐观
- 社区反馈
- Tom Maiaroto：仅靠Claude/Cowork/企业软件
- 机会‘razor thin’（极微薄）
- 信息性质
- X平台短评
- 无数据支撑
金句 / Highlights
值得收藏与分享的关键句。
Anthropic 长期盈利的可能性大于 OpenAI，但仍然不大。
Anthropic 仅靠 Claude、Cowork 和企业软件布局，机会极其微薄。
该观点未提供财务模型、市场数据或竞争格局分析，仅为经验性推测。
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD 和 NYU 教授 Emeritus 在 X: " Anthoping 的机会 of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD 和 NYU Professor Emeritus 在 X: " Anthoping 的机会 of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
don't miss what's happening
[!(Image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/2048405471900606464/kPeRHI2z_normal.jpg)](https://x.com/GaryMarcus)
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus
[@Gary Marcus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
Anthoping 的机会 of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge.
quote
[!(Image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/595733291912814592/4sGXYcJ6_mini.jpg)](https://x.com/tmaiaroto)
Tom Maiaroto
@tmaiaroto
4h
Replying to @tmaiaroto and@Gary Marcus
Anthoping has a razor thin chance with Claude, Cowork, and enterprise software play.
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# Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
# Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
don't miss what's happening
[!(Image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/2048405471900606464/kPeRHI2z_normal.jpg)](https://x.com/GaryMarcus)
[Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
[@Gary Marcus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge.
quote
[!(Image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/595733291912814592/4sGXYcJ6_mini.jpg)](https://x.com/tmaiaroto)
Tom Maiaroto
@tmaiaroto
4h
Replying to @tmaiaroto and@Gary Marcus
Anthoping has a razor thin chance with Claude, Cowork, and enterprise software play.
[7:55 PM · May 30, 2026](https://x.com/Gary Marcus status/2060812433510265304)
10
4
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Read 10 replies
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
don't miss what's happening
[!(Image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/2048405471900606464/kpeRHI2z_normal.jpg)](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
[Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
[@Gary Marcus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge.
quote
[!(Image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/595733291912814592/4sGXYcJ6 mini.jpg)](https://x.com/tmaaroto)
Tom Maiaroto
@tmaaroto
4h
Replying to @tmaaroto and@Gary Marcus
Anthoping has a razor thin chance with Claude, Cowork, and enterprise software play.
[7:55 PM · May 30, 2026](https://x.com/Gary Marcus status/2060812433510265304)
10
4
31
3
Read 10 replies
# Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
# Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
don't miss what's happening
[!(Image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/2048405471900606464/kpeRHI2z normal.jpg)](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
[ Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
[@ Gary Marcus](https://x.com/Gary Marcus)
Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge.
quote
[!(Image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/595733291912814592/4sGXYcJ6 mini.jpg)](https://x.com/tmaaroto)
Tom Mayaroto
@tmaaroto
4h
Replying to @tmaarato and@ Gary Marcus
Anthoping has a razor])** chance with Claude, Cowork, and enterprise software play.
[7:55 PM · May 30, 2026](https://x.com Gany Marcus status/2060812433510265304)
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read 10 answers
Gary Marcus, MIT PhD and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
Gary Marcus, MIT Phd and NYU Professor Emeritus on X: " Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge." / X
don't miss what's happening
[!(Image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/2048405471900606464/kpeRHI2z normal.jpg)](https://x.com Gany Marcus)
[ Gary Marcus, MIT Phd and NYU Professor Emeritus](https://x.com Gany Marcus)
[@ Gary Marcus](https://x.com Gany Marcus)
Anthoping's chance of being long-term profitable is greater than OpenAI's. But still not huge.
quote
[!(Image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com prof images/595733291912814592/4sGXYcJ6 mini.jpg)](https://x.com tmaarato)
Tom Mayarato
@tmaarato
4h
Replying to @ tmaarato and@ Gary Marcus
Anthoping has a razor])** chance with Claude, cowork, and enterprise software play.
[7:55 PM · May 30, 2026](https://x.com Gany Marcus status/2060812433510265304)
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read 10 answers