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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)
AI 深度提炼
  • 产品经理需更注重数据驱动决策能力
  • 跨职能协作能力成为核心竞争力
  • 传统PM技能已无法满足现代需求
#产品经理#Meta#Google
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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

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41K views 2 days agoLenny's Podcast

41,352 views • Apr 19, 2026 • Lenny's Podcast

Nikhyl Singhal is the founder of The Skip, a community for senior product leaders; a former product exec at Meta, Google, and Credit Karma; and a many-time founder. He’s also one of the most honest, unfiltered voices on what’s actually happening in product management right now.…...more

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![Image 8 #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal 0:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs)

#### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal

0:00

![Image 9 #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers 2:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=145s)

#### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers

2:25

![Image 10 #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? 10:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=600s)

#### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago?

10:00

![Image 11 #### What will change in the next couple of years #### What will change in the next couple of years 11:44](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=704s)

#### What will change in the next couple of years

11:44

![Image 12 #### How companies are changing the way they build products #### How companies are changing the way they build products 14:23](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=863s)

#### How companies are changing the way they build products

14:23

![Image 13 #### What “judgment” really means for PMs #### What “judgment” really means for PMs 15:51](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=951s)

#### What “judgment” really means for PMs

15:51

![Image 14 #### Why there won’t be any more bad software #### Why there won’t be any more bad software 17:46](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1066s)

#### Why there won’t be any more bad software

17:46

![Image 15 #### The skills you need to be effective today #### The skills you need to be effective today 20:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1225s)

#### The skills you need to be effective today

20:25

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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

41,352 views 41K views

Apr 19, 2026

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[@masterfunk79](http://www.youtube.com/@masterfunk79)

1 day ago

A prompt will not fix the ego behind a bad idea and worse it will appease that ego because it’s trained to do so

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[@aquaticape68](http://www.youtube.com/@aquaticape68)

1 day ago

I enjoyed hearing Singhal’s perspective but he exemplifies the real problem in America with tech. These people are suffocatingly anti-intellectual and unwordly - to the point of being anti-human. These are the people who will side with the machines.

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[@mustaphmond42](http://www.youtube.com/@mustaphmond42)

2 days ago

I 100% agree that builders are about to have the time of their lives. For years, a lot of us ICs have watched good ideas die in meetings, approvals, and layers of coordination theater. Bureaucracy not only slowed things down it killed initiation and stalled creativity.

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[@JoshAtlas-b3x](http://www.youtube.com/@JoshAtlas-b3x)

18 hours ago

At minute 8, Nikhyl made a core observation that is resonating with me. This isn't just about PM, it's about the realities of life. Thank you.

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❤ by @LennysPodcast

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[@devibal](http://www.youtube.com/@devibal)

2 days ago

Loved the intro comments. The excitement and fatigue - both feel so real.

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[@terrysapartment](http://www.youtube.com/@terrysapartment)

1 day ago

Shipped my own iOS/Apple Watch app recently as a PM, designed everything on my own, made the AI pipeline, backend, frontend, all solo - WHAT A TIME TO BE ALIVE

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[@IntricateJason](http://www.youtube.com/@IntricateJason)

2 days ago

Another great episode Lenny. I am a Doctor of Physical Therapy and own a continuing education company. Zero coding skills. I built 95% of a piece of AI medical marketing software based on my proprietary material I built a new company around. It’s ready for testing next week. Working awesome! I have 2 coders finishing up the details and fixing bugs now. I would love to share my experience with vibe coding a large piece of medical marketing software plus the need for real coders to get to a fully sellable piece of software to other doctors. Love your show. Thanks Lenny.

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[@k0nd10](http://www.youtube.com/@k0nd10)

2 days ago

57:00 is the most important thing. The difference between a job you hate and the career you love. I wish everyone the joy of finding what they love. No matter ai or wood carving

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[@rkatta](http://www.youtube.com/@rkatta)

2 days ago

Spot on, it’s time to stop babysitting the backlog and actually bridge the gap between vision and execution. This shift is definitely hitting way more than just the PM world!

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[@RahulKahani_](http://www.youtube.com/@RahulKahani_)

2 days ago

Shoutout to your editor Lenny! Been levelling up the visual intro narrative

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❤ by @LennysPodcast

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[@TristanBailey](http://www.youtube.com/@TristanBailey)

2 days ago

People having difficulty communicating and agreeing is still going to be an issue. It doesn’t matter how fast you can iterate, hippos and customers will still make it messy.

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[@Xmhusain](http://www.youtube.com/@Xmhusain)

2 days ago (edited)

Lenny, thanks again for another great session with the Product Management Think Tank. If I had to distill one key takeaway, it’s this: AI-first product management will demand more judgment, not less, but that judgment will come at the cost of significantly reduced headcount. Companies are quickly realizing they don’t need as many highly paid PMs to make decisions, and this shift will likely compress the entire org structure, from PMs to Directors, VPs, and even CPOs. The future feels decidedly flatter. That raises a harder, less-discussed question: what happens to the many professionals who have spent decades honing their PM craft? This is the part that rarely gets addressed, even by leaders like Jensen Huang. On a side note, it's so easy for him to state "choose it or leave it" since he is in a different financial position and can afford to give his un-biased view from the side lines.

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[@jesset55](http://www.youtube.com/@jesset55)

2 days ago

8:00 Literally my life.

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[@aayushsawhney9054](http://www.youtube.com/@aayushsawhney9054)

2 days ago

Amazing insights and pragmatism by Nikhyl… In this week, I came out watching an agent demo what my analytics team took 3 days to create in 5 mins, and the SVP of our Product Org (200+) at one of the global payments giants, asking what a PR is during the demo… so some strong takes may definitely become a reality..

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[@jerrycalex89](http://www.youtube.com/@jerrycalex89)

2 days ago

Loved this video, great insights

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❤ by @LennysPodcast

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[@ythaker25](http://www.youtube.com/@ythaker25)

1 day ago

Great session, food for thoughts !Image 40: 🎉

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[@nastunjka](http://www.youtube.com/@nastunjka)

2 days ago (edited)

Great episode! It resonated so much! Tension between automating PM function / delivery processes and stepping in as a builder is real.

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[@FabsWilliams](http://www.youtube.com/@FabsWilliams)

2 days ago

Great episode! Love the ‘Dinos Christianopolous’ derived saying “they thought they were burying us, but they forgot we are seeds” … & Nikhyl emphasis on ‘obsoleting yourself’ as a way to hone that engineering mindset… love the framing around the 59:00 min mark

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[@npc9710](http://www.youtube.com/@npc9710)

2 days ago

the gap between reality and your understanding is so wide it is mind boggling. how you got hired? i understand that product ppl are not the most educated. but you are on a totally different level

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[@haze1123](http://www.youtube.com/@haze1123)

1 day ago

A renaissance of "building" in an age of mass unemployment for a majority of office workers. This will be fascinating to watch.

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Comments 65

Top Show featured commentsNewest Show recent comments, including potential spam

In this video

Chapters

Transcript

Chapters

![Image 49 #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal 0:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs)

#### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal

0:00

![Image 50 #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers 2:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=145s)

#### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers

2:25

![Image 51 #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? 10:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=600s)

#### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago?

10:00

![Image 52 #### What will change in the next couple of years #### What will change in the next couple of years 11:44](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=704s)

#### What will change in the next couple of years

11:44

![Image 53 #### How companies are changing the way they build products #### How companies are changing the way they build products 14:23](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=863s)

#### How companies are changing the way they build products

14:23

![Image 54 #### What “judgment” really means for PMs #### What “judgment” really means for PMs 15:51](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=951s&pp=0gcJCREDDuyUWbzu)

#### What “judgment” really means for PMs

15:51

![Image 55 #### Why there won’t be any more bad software #### Why there won’t be any more bad software 17:46](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1066s)

#### Why there won’t be any more bad software

17:46

![Image 56 #### The skills you need to be effective today #### The skills you need to be effective today 20:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1225s)

#### The skills you need to be effective today

20:25

![Image 57 #### Why there are more PM roles than ever #### Why there are more PM roles than ever 23:31](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1411s)

#### Why there are more PM roles than ever

23:31

![Image 58 #### The builder versus information-mover divide #### The builder versus information-mover divide 24:27](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1467s)

#### The builder versus information-mover divide

24:27

![Image 59 #### The non-builder problem #### The non-builder problem 30:14](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1814s)

#### The non-builder problem

30:14

![Image 60 #### Should PMs code? #### Should PMs code? 30:53](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=1853s)

#### Should PMs code?

30:53

![Image 61 #### Why experienced leaders still matter #### Why experienced leaders still matter 34:15](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2055s&pp=0gcJCREDDuyUWbzu)

#### Why experienced leaders still matter

34:15

![Image 62 #### The diversity setback nobody’s talking about #### The diversity setback nobody’s talking about 35:44](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2144s)

#### The diversity setback nobody’s talking about

35:44

![Image 63 #### Why your brand doesn’t matter as much anymore #### Why your brand doesn’t matter as much anymore 37:21](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2241s)

#### Why your brand doesn’t matter as much anymore

37:21

![Image 64 #### How valued skills are flipping upside down #### How valued skills are flipping upside down 39:54](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2394s)

#### How valued skills are flipping upside down

39:54

![Image 65 #### Why change is so hard for humans #### Why change is so hard for humans 40:49](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2449s)

#### Why change is so hard for humans

40:49

![Image 66 #### The “equal disappointment” algorithm #### The “equal disappointment” algorithm 43:53](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2633s)

#### The “equal disappointment” algorithm

43:53

![Image 67 #### You must cross the threshold #### You must cross the threshold 46:39](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2799s)

#### You must cross the threshold

46:39

![Image 68 #### This chaos will settle #### This chaos will settle 48:37](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=2917s&pp=0gcJCREDDuyUWbzu)

#### This chaos will settle

48:37

![Image 69 #### Finding your moment of joy #### Finding your moment of joy 53:19](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=3199s)

#### Finding your moment of joy

53:19

![Image 70 #### Nikhyl’s AI stack and what he’s building #### Nikhyl’s AI stack and what he’s building 58:50](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=3530s)

#### Nikhyl’s AI stack and what he’s building

58:50

![Image 71 #### The obsolescence mindset #### The obsolescence mindset 1:00:53](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=3653s)

#### The obsolescence mindset

1:00:53

![Image 72 #### Specific advice for PMs right now #### Specific advice for PMs right now 1:05:24](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=3924s)

#### Specific advice for PMs right now

1:05:24

![Image 73 #### The four jobs that will exist in the future #### The four jobs that will exist in the future 1:08:58](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4138s&pp=0gcJCREDDuyUWbzu)

#### The four jobs that will exist in the future

1:08:58

![Image 74 #### Why alignment is changing (but not disappearing) #### Why alignment is changing (but not disappearing) 1:11:59](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4319s)

#### Why alignment is changing (but not disappearing)

1:11:59

![Image 75 #### How engineering is changing even more than PM #### How engineering is changing even more than PM 1:15:40](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4540s)

#### How engineering is changing even more than PM

1:15:40

![Image 76 #### The surprising design plateau #### The surprising design plateau 1:17:04](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4624s)

#### The surprising design plateau

1:17:04

![Image 77 #### Finding optimism in the chaos #### Finding optimism in the chaos 1:18:49](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4729s)

#### Finding optimism in the chaos

1:18:49

![Image 78 #### Lightning round #### Lightning round 1:21:12](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=4872s)

#### Lightning round

1:21:12

Sync to video time

Description

Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

810 Likes

41,352 Views

Apr 19 2026

Nikhyl Singhal is the founder of The Skip, a community for senior product leaders; a former product exec at Meta, Google, and Credit Karma; and a many-time founder. He’s also one of the most honest, unfiltered voices on what’s actually happening in product management right now. In our in-depth conversation, we discuss: 1. Why the next two years will be the most chaotic period in product management history 2. Why half of current product managers are at risk, and what separates those who’ll do well 3. Why you need to find your “moments of joy” with AI 4. The “smiling exhaustion” he’s seeing across the product community 5. The psychological barriers that prevent people from reinventing themselves 6. Why your resume’s fancy logos matter less than ever, and what matters now 7. His prediction that companies will shed 30,000 people and rehire 8,000—all AI-first Brought to you by: WorkOS—Modern identity platform for B2B SaaS, free up to 1 million MAUs: https://workos.com/lenny Vanta—automate compliance, manage risk, and accelerate trust with AI: https://vanta.com/lennyEpisode transcript:https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/wh...Archive of all Lenny's Podcast transcripts:https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fo/yxi4s2...Where to find Nikhyl Singhal: • LinkedIn: ![Image 79/nikhyl](https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa296T2N1dW1HQUZNVWk1MVIxblpnTnJzSlByd3xBQ3Jtc0ttdlFOaVlZSXJ0VGdpRUdKdm8tb0xBd1ZKZWU0MU9STk9wQUVWMU1ubndCSjN3TFZGNEpjTnp3R3B1YTN2aG9GemZuQ0R1LVpWMmV2SUlhVDJKZjlYWEVILVMtbWRFTXhRaHpCV09RSG5PSTg4UXljVQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.linkedin.com%2Fin%2Fnikhyl&v=yUohoaC8_Hs) • X: https://x.com/nikhyl • Podcast & Newsletter: https://skip.show • Skip Community: https://skip.community • Skip Coach: https://skip.coach • Skip.help: https://skip.helpWhere to find Lenny: • Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com • X: ![Image 80/lennysan](https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbHNaSFdqRXhfM0NXTVhybl8ybnd1XzNrWmtad3xBQ3Jtc0tuNGtSeExJR1ZFMFpBYjZka01WZURUU2lOaUtrQ3YzTG9IeXoxMFpYT0xhNEpwTjB4TnFOU0E2emZWRmptTi1iNkRPaVc2aFlOWGdRUHhYRmY5enhOMFVGeklXazluaXdSbTRoVU1HRFg0U0pwNmdGSQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Flennysan&v=yUohoaC8_Hs) • LinkedIn: ![Image 81/lennyrachitsky](https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa2x2eGhicko3YVVRN283ZWJ2YmNWOG1yT1pNZ3xBQ3Jtc0ttdkVMNUh1dkVlaGQ3R25GRHFxMVRGNUdtcjdQc3lCU0lsNDBHOHF2S0s4d2NMMGRxYnlheklMUDJkWFR5STZRNS1nMV9xVmxBN2YtUThYb3F5WGJIV0tSaEg5S1ZoM0QwQVh5MkpFbDJXS1N2aFdrTQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.linkedin.com%2Fin%2Flennyrachitsky%2F&v=yUohoaC8_Hs)In this episode, we cover: (00:00) Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal (02:25) The big picture: what’s changing for product managers (10:00) Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? (11:44) What will change in the next couple of years (14:23) How companies are changing the way they build products (15:51) What “judgment” really means for PMs (17:46) Why there won’t be any more bad software (20:25) The skills you need to be effective today (23:31) Why there are more PM roles than ever (24:27) The builder versus information-mover divide (30:14) The non-builder problem (30:53) Should PMs code? (34:15) Why experienced leaders still matter (35:44) The diversity setback nobody’s talking about (37:21) Why your brand doesn’t matter as much anymore (39:54) How valued skills are flipping upside down (40:49) Why change is so hard for humans (43:53) The “equal disappointment” algorithm (46:39) You must cross the threshold (48:37) This chaos will settle (53:19) Finding your moment of joy (58:50) Nikhyl’s AI stack and what he’s building (1:00:53) The obsolescence mindset (1:05:24) Specific advice for PMs right now (1:08:58) The four jobs that will exist in the future (1:11:59) Why alignment is changing (but not disappearing) (1:15:40) How engineering is changing even more than PM (1:17:04) The surprising design plateau (1:18:49) Finding optimism in the chaos (1:21:12) Lightning round Referenced: • Building a long and meaningful career | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/bu... • COBOL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COBOL • United Airlines: https://www.united.com • State of the product job market in early 2026: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/st... • Head of Growth (Anthropic): “Claude is growing itself at this point” | Amol Avasare: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/an... • Demis Hassabis on X: https://x.com/demishassabis • Sam Altman on X: https://x.com/sama • Dario Amodei on X: https://x.com/DarioAmodei • Cross on Prime Video: https://www.amazon.com/Cross-Season-1... • Jack Ryan on Prime Video: https://www.amazon.com/Tom-Clancys-Ja... • 24 on Prime Video: https://www.amazon.com/24-Season-1/dp... • Claude Code: https://code.claude.com • Codex: https://chatgpt.com/codex • Lovable: https://lovable.dev • Sonos: https://www.sonos.com • “There are only four jobs” on X: https://x.com/yrechtman/status/203901... • Paradise on Hulu: https://www.hulu.com/series/paradise-... • Lioness on Paramount+: https://www.paramountplus.com/shows/l... • Albert Einstein’s quote: ![Image 82/genius-is-1-talent-and-99-percent-hard-work](https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbGhpZHdmREtqWHloakxfVm5WaHA0UnVCTm1uUXxBQ3Jtc0tsUjl4REFQU3BuTFJER3NmUU1SNG5WbW9aR05XTXpnNkNHZGp3QllEa0dhem16dFhVVy1DNjZxOTgtN19WaW9DQ0FvWmpOV3ZhLVp1YWx3b2RnZHBiNVlEU3dFeUFuV0hnX2JSdlV4bWl4cEE0TnE3Zw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goodreads.com%2Fquotes%2F115696-genius-is-1-talent-and-99-percent-hard-work&v=yUohoaC8_Hs)Recommended books: • James: https://www.amazon.com/James-Novel-Pe... • The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn: https://www.amazon.com/Adventures-Huc...Production and marketing by https://penname.co/.For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com. Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed.…...more

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![Image 83 #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal #### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal 0:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs)

#### Introduction to Nikhyl Singhal

0:00

![Image 84 #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers #### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers 2:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=145s)

#### The big picture: what’s changing for product managers

2:25

![Image 85 #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? #### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago? 10:00](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=600s)

#### Are product leaders doing better than 2-3 years ago?

10:00

![Image 86 #### What will change in the next couple of years #### What will change in the next couple of years 11:44](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUohoaC8_Hs&t=704s)

#### What will change in the next couple of years

11:44

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