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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸(@pmarca)

Prediction markets certainly should trump polls virtually 100% of the time. Polls suffer from a vari...

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Prediction markets certainly should trump polls virtually 100% of the time. Polls suffer from a vari...
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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 on X: "Prediction markets certainly should trump polls virtually 100% of the time. Polls suffer from a variety of well-known biases and dysfunctions; prediction markets incent truth seeking via skin in the game." / X

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![Image 2](http://x.com/pmarca)

Marc Andreessen ![Image 3: 🇺🇸 !Image 4](http://x.com/pmarca)

@pmarca

Prediction markets certainly should trump polls virtually 100% of the time. Polls suffer from a variety of well-known biases and dysfunctions; prediction markets incent truth seeking via skin in the game.

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Image 5

Andy Hall

@ahall_research

·

15h

In the clip economy, prediction markets are replacing polls as the source of truth. My new research with @PairieK: TikTok and YouTube videos about politics now cite prediction markets more than polls. To "monitor the situation" we need real-time info on many topics. Prediction x.com/MTSlive/status…

![Image 6: Image](http://x.com/ahall_research/status/2047337145971732693/photo/1)

3:19 AM · Apr 24, 2026

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