Yann LeCun(@ylecun)

@firesidealpha Sudden Clarity Sam realizing that real-world dynamics equations have inertia and fric...

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TL;DR · AI 摘要

Sam Altman修正AI发展时间线预期，承认社会适应速度比预期慢，Codex开发被描述为高风险任务。

核心要点

  • Sam Altman承认GPT-4后AI颠覆速度将比2023年预期慢
  • Codex开发被描述为'疯狂自杀式任务'以对抗Claude Code
  • Yann LeCun指出现实动态方程包含惯性和摩擦力

结构提纲

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  1. §引言

    Sam Altman修正AI发展时间线预期，承认社会适应速度将放缓。

  2. ·AI发展时间线修正

    Sam Altman承认2023年对GPT-4后AI颠覆速度的预测过于乐观。

  3. ›Codex开发挑战

    OpenAI将Codex开发描述为对抗Claude Code的高风险任务。

  4. ·现实动态方程

    Yann LeCun指出现实系统包含惯性和摩擦力，影响技术变革速度。

思维导图

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查看大纲文本（无障碍 / 无 JS 友好）
  • AI发展时间线与挑战
    • 时间线修正
      • 社会适应速度放缓
      • GPT-4预期过乐观
    • Codex开发
      • 对抗Claude Code
      • 高风险任务
    • 现实动态方程
      • 惯性
      • 摩擦力

金句 / Highlights

值得收藏与分享的关键句。

#AI#技术预测#Codex#Sam Altman#Yann LeCun
打开原文

Yann LeCun on X: "@firesidealpha Sudden Clarity Sam realizing that real-world dynamics equations have inertia and friction terms. (Particularly when they concern large systems like human societies). If only the singularitarians, AI doomers, AGI-is-near crowd, and other SV cultists could realize th… / X

Fireside Alpha

@firesidealpha

Aug 23

Sam Altman admits he was wrong on AI's timeline and says society and the economy will adapt more slowly "I thought when we got to GPT-4, which was back in 2023, that very quickly after that there was going to be much more disruption, software businesses up for grabs right away,

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Jul 25

Sam Altman reveals building Codex was a "crazy kamikaze mission" to beat Claude Code and that most of the best coders he knows now use Codex. "We were way behind Claude Code, and it seemed like a kind of crazy kamikaze mission to try to beat them with a coding app." "The

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