--- title: "Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED" source_name: "TED" original_url: "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q" canonical_url: "https://www.traeai.com/articles/2119c3ff-9a9e-4d3b-b52d-ed8f987b3e7b" content_type: "video" language: "中文" score: 5 tags: [] published_at: "2026-04-24T15:00:44+00:00" created_at: "2026-04-24T23:14:32.003429+00:00" --- # Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED Canonical URL: https://www.traeai.com/articles/2119c3ff-9a9e-4d3b-b52d-ed8f987b3e7b Original source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q ## Summary traeai 为开发者、研究员和内容团队筛选高质量 AI 技术内容，提供摘要、评分、趋势雷达与一键内容产出。 ## Key Takeaways - - - ## Content Title: Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED URL Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q Markdown Content: # Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED - YouTube Back [![Image 1: Meet the line dancing community](https://www.gstatic.com/youtube/img/promos/462a7de0c39c428280f60a340dfcf2cf243600396c1f2a6cb8087b91f29140f4_122x56.webp)](http://www.youtube.com/ "Meet the line dancing community") Skip navigation Search Search with your voice [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [Sign in](https://accounts.google.com/ServiceLogin?service=youtube&uilel=3&passive=true&continue=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fsignin%3Faction_handle_signin%3Dtrue%26app%3Ddesktop%26hl%3Den%26next%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.youtube.com%252Fwatch%253Fv%253DOS4wHmKtH-Q&hl=en&ec=65620) [![Image 2: Meet the line dancing community](https://www.gstatic.com/youtube/img/promos/462a7de0c39c428280f60a340dfcf2cf243600396c1f2a6cb8087b91f29140f4_122x56.webp)](http://www.youtube.com/ "Meet the line dancing community") [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Tap to unmute 2x [![Image 3](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q)](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ## Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED TED 5,572 views 8 hours ago [](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Search Copy link Info Shopping ![Image 4](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) [![Image 5](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q)](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) If playback doesn't begin shortly, try restarting your device. • You're signed out Videos you watch may be added to the TV's watch history and influence TV recommendations. 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[Learn more](https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/3037019#zippy=%2Ccheck-that-youre-signed-into-youtube) [Sign in](https://accounts.google.com/ServiceLogin?service=youtube&uilel=3&passive=true&continue=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fsignin%3Faction_handle_signin%3Dtrue%26app%3Ddesktop%26hl%3Den%26next%3D%252Fwatch%253Fv%253DOS4wHmKtH-Q&hl=en) # Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED [![Image 7](https://yt3.ggpht.com/ytc/AIdro_koIFcCOrvh0KThLNOiazAIDu6hcs8bjkGNwe1f6A_OYm8=s48-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj)](http://www.youtube.com/@TED) [TED](http://www.youtube.com/@TED) TED 27.3M subscribers Join Subscribe Subscribed 270 Share Save Download Download 5,572 views 8 hours ago[#TED](http://www.youtube.com/hashtag/ted)[#TEDTalks](http://www.youtube.com/hashtag/tedtalks)[#AI](http://www.youtube.com/hashtag/ai) 5,572 views • Apr 24, 2026 • #TED #TEDTalks #AI What do the story of Oedipus and your insurance premiums have in common? They are both driven by self-fulfilling prophecies. Philosopher and TED Fellow Carissa Véliz traces the hidden power of prediction, from Roman emperors who banned prophets to the AI algorithms quietly making decisions about your life right now. We tend to associate predictions with knowledge, she…...more ...more Transcript Follow along using the transcript. Show transcript [![Image 8](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### TED 27.3M subscribers](http://www.youtube.com/@TED) [Videos](http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAuUUnT6oDeKwE6v1NGQxug/videos)[About](http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAuUUnT6oDeKwE6v1NGQxug/about) [![Image 9](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Support TED & get exclusive perks! 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Great to hear someone raising the ethical questions about our tech and AI future. We can do it well, we can ask questions of modern prophecies. Hopeful!! Show less Read more Like 8 Dislike Reply ![Image 12](https://yt3.ggpht.com/ytc/AIdro_k171yMDtn8o398C3lxd39OcZg4d7MFhNvJGfTuGHa2Zi2ow4EOwQv8jolERX9FY3-O3w=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@EarthAngel0000](http://www.youtube.com/@EarthAngel0000) [4 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgxbIsV42p_m-6gDYZ14AaABAg) “Uncertainty is good news. It means that the future is unwritten… that it is ours to write” Absolutely love that. Show less Read more Like 3 Dislike Reply ![Image 13](https://yt3.ggpht.com/ytc/AIdro_kIB5IA6ctvzva_sdiR-wLzAe7GYZepYXonq7FFVmg1fN0SLFqcdgNA01BzkaRlSJ-oHg=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@MOHAMEDTABCAMOHAMED](http://www.youtube.com/@MOHAMEDTABCAMOHAMED) [1 hour ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugx4Bg2C5cKJSQNB5tB4AaABAg&pp=0gcJCSIANpG00pGi) Thanks Ted ![Image 14: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png)![Image 15: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png)![Image 16: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png) Show less Read more Like 3 Dislike Reply ![Image 17](https://yt3.ggpht.com/7xhS557HdQdjRSuJd4589J7IBkXRSWoS-e_wt8PiNIJcWQbvDqDg70wG8YxLv2n-25jpWp3W53c=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@PiotrKaszuba8403](http://www.youtube.com/@PiotrKaszuba8403) [7 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgyLJcJpSw_8_BjRElN4AaABAg) Such a GOOD speach! A lot of things applying to real world and people. And very good delivery. Bravo! Show less Read more Like 2 Dislike Reply ![Image 18](https://yt3.ggpht.com/ytc/AIdro_ldQNCJoqb2ACiWS5tI0fa5OHsUN-DbrYZMr0kII7wBc0yO3d9TcCxQjkS5SREDdYZ3kA=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@Christine-e7b](http://www.youtube.com/@Christine-e7b) [7 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgxkySwYxRp3TAcixs14AaABAg) So true !!! ![Image 19: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png)![Image 20: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png)![Image 21: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png)![Image 22: ❤](https://www.youtube.com/s/gaming/emoji/7ff574f2/emoji_u2764.png) Show less Read more Like 3 Dislike Reply ![Image 23](https://yt3.ggpht.com/GwR0z2xQLFugnU2UGRBbyEROh3jDu5QYMDqDJHJAkId6WzP6YGWzjLYyS64BUsXuz7t_YlhjWw=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@IAn0nI](http://www.youtube.com/@IAn0nI) [29 minutes ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugw3EokzWk13sbQnEiB4AaABAg) Great talk. Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 24](https://yt3.ggpht.com/0Ng8Ftm27Mb-zOxxjoKOvbegmsy-q36U6IP6oBrt7QGvco1mHYeJl4kGc0IxtUOOcY7GmI3jNQ=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@Laylamarino445](http://www.youtube.com/@Laylamarino445) [17 minutes ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgxgabJSPLeXMk1OCdh4AaABAg) For a long time I thought confusion was just part of love. I thought the constant anxiety, the overthinking, the feeling of walking on eggshells was something I needed to fix within myself. When I read Hidden Scripts in Love by Lora Kivren, it was uncomfortable at first. Not because it attacked anyone, but because it described situations I had normalized. It gave structure to things I couldn’t explain before. After that, I started seeing my experiences differently. I became quieter, but stronger. Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 25](https://yt3.ggpht.com/ytc/AIdro_kRLKH2z6H0h8xTCrqD4OBfv3H3zaGwb9MpNCPH6c8=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj) ### [@jf-jx4ym](http://www.youtube.com/@jf-jx4ym) [8 hours ago (edited)](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgznU9oKUajVkrUL_4h4AaABAg) Prediction (assumptions) made in position of power over another or with unlawful dishonest or unreasonable manner when conflicts of interest.. sentiment.. belief or possibility...or other benefit is present....is consequential and often a crime. This includes that which cannot be shown true.. like plausible deniability. Show less Read more Like 3 Dislike Reply ![Image 26](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@XKLJz](http://www.youtube.com/@XKLJz) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgyurZnXMwXIrHoJLVh4AaABAg) Yes Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply 1 reply Hide replies 1 reply ![Image 27](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@welcome.421](http://www.youtube.com/@welcome.421) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgwRXxzfUC-t95WqyYV4AaABAg) TED | As an ambitious content creator, I appreciate the team's dedication to supporting outstanding educational and cultural channels. بصفتي صانع محتوى طموح، أقدر اهتمام فريق العمل بدعم القنوات التعليمية والثقافية المتميزة.![Image 28: ❤](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Show less Read more Like 1 Dislike Reply ![Image 29](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@sajibleadership](http://www.youtube.com/@sajibleadership) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugzfs8ShDrzOtJ1M6zl4AaABAg) I am watching from Bangladesh Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 30](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@vanshikathakur7760](http://www.youtube.com/@vanshikathakur7760) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgyZA6Y_SZAb3Whw_7J4AaABAg) ![Image 31: 🎉](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q)![Image 32: 🎉](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ऊं जय श्री बगुलामुखी परमेश्वररी नमो नमः।![Image 33: 🎉](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q)![Image 34: 🎉](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 35](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@MoynulIslam-w7b](http://www.youtube.com/@MoynulIslam-w7b) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugylsxy7WAlC68l1W6R4AaABAg) I am watching from Bangladesh 🇧🇩 Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply 1 reply Hide replies 1 reply ![Image 36](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@sechernbiw](http://www.youtube.com/@sechernbiw) [6 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugw_JPl32VcW-frvTl14AaABAg) Don't walk with a rhythm. Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 37](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@FlurpTV](http://www.youtube.com/@FlurpTV) [4 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugz2f8B9dh2L0z72BMZ4AaABAg) AI is getting more insecure for human development! Reason: ? Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 38](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@oitubeman1019](http://www.youtube.com/@oitubeman1019) [8 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgzSV5B3Yy4crxxW4L54AaABAg&pp=0gcJCSIANpG00pGi) I predict with 100% percent certainty that Gojo Satoru will come back in Avatar: Seven Havens Show less Read more Like 4 Dislike Reply ![Image 39](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@milesbarn](http://www.youtube.com/@milesbarn) [2 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgxiNfMu_lty1L9d1hR4AaABAg) Animal Farm Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 40](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@gokiburijin8478](http://www.youtube.com/@gokiburijin8478) [7 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgyZh6kkN7R1H9KcUqx4AaABAg) Asimov was ahead of the game Show less Read more Like 1 Dislike Reply ![Image 41](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@happykillmore349](http://www.youtube.com/@happykillmore349) [30 minutes ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=Ugzr2qohax1B-KTVikl4AaABAg&pp=0gcJCSIANpG00pGi) "Boats aren't planes", and other dumb clickbait titles to downvote Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ![Image 42](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### [@smokeyJmirror](http://www.youtube.com/@smokeyJmirror) [4 hours ago](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q&lc=UgzThIggiX9_BXeBTuZ4AaABAg) Informative talk. I prefer to separate the two concepts. Prediction is an honest, sincere attempt to model future events. What Carissa Veliz is warning of deserves a different label. Manipulation, Grift, Rhetoric; I am open to any or others. Show less Read more Like Dislike Reply ## Comments 25 [Top Show featured comments](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q)[Newest Show recent comments, including potential spam](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ## In this video Transcript ## Description Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED 270 Likes 5,572 Views 8h Ago What do the story of Oedipus and your insurance premiums have in common? They are both driven by self-fulfilling prophecies. Philosopher and TED Fellow Carissa Véliz traces the hidden power of prediction, from Roman emperors who banned prophets to the AI algorithms quietly making decisions about your life right now. We tend to associate predictions with knowledge, she says, but they're actually attempts to grab power. So the next time someone tells you a specific outcome is inevitable, remember: they aren't describing the future — they're selling it. 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Show transcript [![Image 49](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) ### TED 27.3M subscribers](http://www.youtube.com/@TED) [Videos](http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAuUUnT6oDeKwE6v1NGQxug/videos)[About](http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAuUUnT6oDeKwE6v1NGQxug/about) [![Image 50](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q) Support TED & get exclusive perks! 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